📅 Vesting Unlock Monitor
Short cliff unlocks 48H before date · Exit 3D after · 1% pool size
Scan #315 · 2026-06-27 22:16 UTC
Auto-refreshes hourly
🚨 IMMINENT ENTRY — AVAX in 1D
Short AVAXUSDT at market open on 2026-06-29
Exit 3 days after unlock (2026-07-01)
Size: 1% of BTC pool · 5.1% of supply unlocking · AVAX foundation/team quarterly tranche
🚨 IMMINENT ENTRY — SUI in 1D
Short SUIUSDT at market open on 2026-06-29
Exit 3 days after unlock (2026-07-01)
Size: 1% of BTC pool · 5.2% of supply unlocking · SUI Year-3 quarterly cliff — same pattern as backtest winners
8
Active signals (all filters pass)
17
Upcoming events tracked
-6.6%
BTC 7D change (macro filter)
✅ Clear
Macro environment
Upcoming unlocks — filter status
Token Unlock Date Entry Timing % Supply Type Decision Filter Details Notes
AVAX 2026-07-01 1D to entry 5.1% team+investor ✅ TRADE ✓ 5.1%  ✓ team+investor  ✓ -6.6%  ✓ $54.1M  ✓ -28.7%   AVAX foundation/team quarterly tranche
SUI 2026-07-01 1D to entry 5.2% team+investor ✅ TRADE ✓ 5.2%  ✓ team+investor  ✓ -6.6%  ✓ $71.5M  ✓ -26.9%   SUI Year-3 quarterly cliff — same pattern as backtest winner
ANIME 2026-07-06 6D to entry 5.0% team+investor ⛔ SKIP
⚠ Illiquid: OI $1.0M < $5M
 ✓ 5.0%  ✓ team+investor  ✓ -6.6%  ✗ $1.0M   ANIME investor linear monthly — post Jan 2026 cliff
LAYER 2026-07-15 15D to entry 5.5% team+investor ⛔ SKIP
⚠ Illiquid: OI $3.1M < $5M
 ✓ 5.5%  ✓ team+investor  ✓ -6.6%  ✗ $3.1M   LAYER linear Q3 2026
IP 2026-07-17 17D to entry 3.0% team+investor ⛔ SKIP
⚠ Too small: 3.0% < 5%
 ✗ 3.0%   IP monthly linear post-cliff
ONDO 2026-07-18 18D to entry 5.3% team+investor ✅ TRADE ✓ 5.3%  ✓ team+investor  ✓ -6.6%  ✓ $27.8M  ✓ -16.0%   ONDO mid-year investor/advisor tranche
PENDLE 2026-07-25 25D to entry 5.0% team+investor ✅ TRADE ✓ 5.0%  ✓ team+investor  ✓ -6.6%  ✓ $10.7M  ✓ -15.7%   PENDLE team quarterly Q3
IMX 2026-08-01 32D to entry 5.0% team+investor ⛔ SKIP
⚠ Illiquid: OI $2.4M < $5M
 ✓ 5.0%  ✓ team+investor  ✓ -6.6%  ✗ $2.4M   IMX team tranche Q3 2026
AERO 2026-08-01 32D to entry 5.0% team+investor ✅ TRADE ✓ 5.0%  ✓ team+investor  ✓ -6.6%  ✓ $12.4M  ✓ +12.3%   AERO team linear tranche — 4yr vest from Aug 2023
BERA 2026-08-06 37D to entry 5.5% team+investor ⛔ SKIP
⚠ Illiquid: OI $4.3M < $5M
 ✓ 5.5%  ✓ team+investor  ✓ -6.6%  ✗ $4.3M   BERA linear monthly Q3 — large investor+contributor cohort
KAITO 2026-08-15 46D to entry 5.0% team+investor ✅ TRADE ✓ 5.0%  ✓ team+investor  ✓ -6.6%  ✓ $25.3M  ✓ +21.9%   KAITO team linear Q3
WAL 2026-09-19 81D to entry 6.0% team+investor ⛔ SKIP
⚠ Illiquid: OI $1.9M < $5M
 ✓ 6.0%  ✓ team+investor  ✓ -6.6%  ✗ $1.9M   WAL 1-year investor+team cliff — Sep 2025 TGE, ~30% investor
AVAX 2026-10-01 93D to entry 5.1% team+investor ✅ TRADE ✓ 5.1%  ✓ team+investor  ✓ -6.6%  ✓ $54.1M  ✓ -28.9%   AVAX foundation/team quarterly tranche Q4
SUI 2026-10-01 93D to entry 5.2% team+investor ✅ TRADE ✓ 5.2%  ✓ team+investor  ✓ -6.6%  ✓ $71.5M  ✓ -26.9%   SUI Year-3 Q4 quarterly cliff
LAYER 2026-10-15 107D to entry 5.5% team+investor ⛔ SKIP
⚠ Illiquid: OI $3.1M < $5M
 ✓ 5.5%  ✓ team+investor  ✓ -6.6%  ✗ $3.1M   LAYER linear Q4 2026
IMX 2026-11-01 124D to entry 5.0% team+investor ⛔ SKIP
⚠ Illiquid: OI $2.4M < $5M
 ✓ 5.0%  ✓ team+investor  ✓ -6.6%  ✗ $2.4M   IMX team tranche Q4 2026
BERA 2026-11-06 129D to entry 5.5% team+investor ⛔ SKIP
⚠ Illiquid: OI $4.3M < $5M
 ✓ 5.5%  ✓ team+investor  ✓ -6.6%  ✗ $4.3M   BERA linear monthly Q4
Backtest reference (v2, cliff-only)
75%
Win rate
+5.45%
Avg return
+7.05%
Median return
3.21
Profit factor
0.0023
p-value ***
N=40
Backtest events
Entry: 48H before unlock · Exit: 3D after unlock · Filter: cliff ≥5% supply, team+investor only, BTC not down >10% in 7D, token not up >30% in 30D, Binance OI >$5M
Unlock Monitor · 2026-06-27 22:16 UTC · Data: Binance (public) · Backtest: v2 cliff-only 40 events p=0.0023