⚡ Crowd Strategy Scanner
BTC microstructure · Separate from Ozymandias · Auto-refreshes every 5min
Scan #1743 · 2026-04-28 22:19 UTC
History: 96/96 scans (24H 0m)
BTC: $76,301
⇄
Grid / Range
Dominant strategy detected in current market microstructure
90
raw signal score
Strategy distribution — what the crowd is doing right now
⇄
Grid / Range
65%
HIGH
DOMINANT
⬇
DCA / Spot Accum.
22%
MED
↘
Breakout Short
7%
LOW
↪
Mean Rev Short
6%
LOW
↗
Breakout Long
0%
LOW
▲
Momentum Long
0%
LOW
▼
Momentum Short
0%
LOW
↩
Mean Rev Long
0%
LOW
⚡
Stop Hunt
0%
LOW
⟳
CTA Trend Follow
0%
LOW
Bars show relative prevalence (normalised). Raw scores are independent fingerprint matches, not true probabilities. HIGH confidence = raw score ≥50. MED = ≥25.
Raw signals
PRICE
BTC Price$76,301
Change 1H-0.03%
Change 4H+0.12%
Change 24H-0.94%
vs MA20-0.15%above=bullish
Volume ratio0.20xvs 20H avg
OPEN INTEREST
OI (USD)$7.44B
OI change 1H-0.44%
OI change 4H-0.63%
OI trendFALLING
FUNDING & POSITIONING
Funding rate0.0035%8H rate
Funding trendFLAT
Top trader L%49.3%>55%=inst.long
Global L%48.9%>60%=crowd long
L/S divergenceNONE
LIQUIDATIONS
Total liqs 1H$0
Long liqs 1H$0
Short liqs 1H$0
Liq spike ratio1.0xvs 24H avg
Dominant sideBALANCED
OPTIONS (DERIBIT)
Put/Call ratio0.670>1.2=bearish hedge
PCR sentimentBULLISH COMPLACENT
Wick detectedNo
Crowd vulnerability levels
Nearest stop clusters and crowd reference levels
MA20 $76,418 ↑ 0.2% 20H MA — crowd trend reference
ROUND NUMBER $76,000 ↓ 0.4% Round number support / stop magnet
ROUND NUMBER $77,000 ↑ 0.9% Round number resistance / stop magnet
LONG_STOPS = where longs placed stops
SHORT_STOPS = where shorts placed stops
ROUND_NUMBER = natural stop magnet
Flags
✓ No wick pattern
✓ Normal liquidation activity
✓ No smart/retail divergence
✓ Funding within normal range
Implication for your strategies
VIX Monday Short
No strong crowd signal affecting VIX strategy
Strategy A (Mon Gap-Up Long)
Neutral crowd environment for gap-up trades
Strategy P (Wed Long after Red Tue)
Standard environment for P — no strong crowd signal
Strategy C (Thu Short, paper/10%)
No clear crowd tailwind for C — maintain paper/10% sizing
DVOL Confluence / Z-Score
Ranging crowd → DVOL likely suppressed, fewer vol signals expected
CME Basis v2
Neutral crowd — basis direction unclear, monitor daily
Crowd posture does not override strategy entry conditions. Use as context filter only.
Who you're trading against right now
⇄ Grid / Range is dominant — you are trading against:
Range traders and grid bot operators
THEIR BEHAVIOUR
Mechanically buying support and selling resistance within a defined band. Provide consistent liquidity at range extremes. No directional conviction. Exit the grid if price breaks the range definitively.
YOUR EDGE
In ranging markets, your directional strategies underperform — this is the warning signal. If grid is dominant, reduce size on calendar trades and wait for breakout confirmation before entering momentum plays.
WATCH OUT FOR
When the range breaks, grid traders all exit simultaneously — adding fuel to the breakout. A grid-dominant market turning into a breakout is one of the sharpest moves because of this mechanical unwind.
Strategy classification — all detected types
Strategy Type Sophistication Retail
Disc.		 Retail
Sys.		 Inst.
Sys.		 Description
⇄ Grid / Range ◀ Quantitative / Systematic Retail systematic dominant ● ● ● Fully automated. Fixed buy/sell levels, automatic rebalancing within a band. No human decision once configured. Binance grid bot users are the dominant cohort.
⬇ DCA / Spot Accum. Hybrid — both exist Retail discretionary + retail systematic ● ● ● Ranges from manual ('I buy every 5% drop') to fully automated DCA bots. Microstructure fingerprint looks the same either way — spot volume on dips, perp OI flat.
↘ Breakout Short Discretionary / Technical Retail discretionary dominant ● ● ● Mirror of breakout long. Chart readers fading support levels. Breakdown traders entering at prior lows.
↪ Mean Rev Short Quantitative / Hybrid Retail discretionary + retail systematic ● ● ● Fading overbought conditions. Funding extremes, crowded longs, extended price. Most dangerous environment for momentum strategies.
↗ Breakout Long Discretionary / Technical Retail discretionary dominant ● ● ● Traders drawing resistance lines, watching price approach, clicking buy at the cross. Rules exist but the execution is human.
▲ Momentum Long Quantitative / Systematic Mix — retail bots + some institutional ● ● ● Rules-based trend following. MA crossovers, vol-scaled sizing. Runs automatically without human decision. Slower and more persistent than breakout.
▼ Momentum Short Quantitative / Systematic Mix — retail bots + some institutional ● ● ● Systematic short-side trend following. Accumulates slowly into downtrends. Does not panic, does not get shaken by small wicks.
↩ Mean Rev Long Quantitative / Hybrid Retail discretionary + retail systematic ● ● ● Fading oversold conditions. Can be systematic (funding threshold triggers entry) or discretionary (RSI oversold + gut feel). Your retired Funding Rate Extremes was this category.
⚡ Stop Hunt Institutional manipulation Institutional perpetrator — retail victims ● ● ● Deliberately manufactured. A well-capitalised entity pushes price through a known stop cluster, triggers forced liquidations, then reverses. The perpetrator is institutional. The victims are everyone with a stop below the level.
⟳ CTA Trend Follow Quantitative / Institutional Institutional systematic — dominant cohort ● ● ● Large systematic funds running 20D/60D/100D MA crossover models on a rules-based schedule. Flows are mechanical and estimable from price history alone. Creates persistent momentum when multiple CTAs cross the same trigger simultaneously.
● = primary cohort for this strategy type · ◀ = currently dominant
Crowd Strategy Scanner · 2026-04-28 22:19 UTC · Data: Binance Futures (public) + Deribit (public) · Separate system from Ozymandias · Fingerprint scores are heuristic estimates, not true probabilities